Stage 1 Outlook

Group Stage Layout (Groups A-L)

Under the expanded format, 12 separate groups host 4 teams each. Below, see all 12 groups modeled accurately, ordered internally by their probability of securing the top spot in their respective group.

Group A Stage Outlook

#15 Mexico
Group Win52.4%
#28 Czech Republic
Group Win26.3%
#33 South Korea
Group Win25.0%
#38 South Africa
Group Win7.7%

Group B Stage Outlook

#17 Switzerland
Group Win51.2%
#24 Canada
Group Win34.5%
#26 Bosnia
Group Win21.3%
#39 Qatar
Group Win3.4%

Group C Stage Outlook

#4 Brazil
Group Win78.7%
#13 Morocco
Group Win19.0%
#27 Scotland
Group Win10.0%
#48 Haiti
Group Win0.7%

Group D Stage Outlook

#12 USA
Group Win44.4%
#18 Turkey
Group Win33.3%
#25 Paraguay
Group Win20.0%
#34 Australia
Group Win12.5%

Group E Stage Outlook

#7 Germany
Group Win75.6%
#19 Ecuador
Group Win22.2%
#29 Ivory Coast
Group Win14.3%
#46 Curacao
Group Win0.8%

Group F Stage Outlook

#8 Netherlands
Group Win53.5%
#14 Japan
Group Win28.6%
#22 Sweden
Group Win22.2%
#35 Tunisia
Group Win8.3%

Group G Stage Outlook

#10 Belgium
Group Win69.7%
#30 Egypt
Group Win20.0%
#36 Iran
Group Win18.2%
#43 New Zealand
Group Win3.8%

Group H Stage Outlook

#1 Spain
Group Win81.8%
#16 Uruguay
Group Win21.3%
#40 Saudi Arabia
Group Win5.3%
#44 Cape Verde
Group Win2.4%

Group I Stage Outlook

#2 France
Group Win69.7%
#9 Norway
Group Win26.7%
#21 Senegal
Group Win11.8%
#41 Iraq
Group Win2.0%

Group J Stage Outlook

#5 Argentina
Group Win77.3%
#23 Austria
Group Win18.2%
#31 Algeria
Group Win12.5%
#47 Jordan
Group Win2.4%

Group K Stage Outlook

#6 Portugal
Group Win69.7%
#11 Colombia
Group Win29.4%
#37 DR Congo
Group Win8.3%
#45 Uzbekistan
Group Win2.8%

Group L Stage Outlook

#3 England
Group Win76.2%
#20 Croatia
Group Win22.2%
#32 Ghana
Group Win9.1%
#42 Panama
Group Win3.2%