Playwithusblom
Full Analytical Board
48-Country Strength Rankings
Filter and sort the absolute list of qualified countries, representing the exhaustive set of competitors. This matrix details the structural probability index of every competitor advancing through each bracket layer, including raw win likelihood percentage and standardized group expectations.
| Rank | Country | Group | Title Odds | Win Chance | Reach Final | Reach Semifinal | Reach Quarterfinal | Win Group Chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | H | +475 | 17.4% | 31.3% | 50.0% | 61.5% | 81.8% |
| 2 | France | I | +500 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 43.5% | 57.4% | 69.7% |
| 3 | England | L | +650 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 41.7% | 59.2% | 76.2% |
| 4 | Brazil | C | +800 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 35.7% | 54.5% | 78.7% |
| 5 | Argentina | J | +900 | 10.0% | 19.0% | 34.5% | 52.4% | 77.3% |
| 6 | Portugal | K | +1000 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 69.7% |
| 7 | Germany | E | +1400 | 6.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 43.5% | 75.6% |
| 8 | Netherlands | F | +2000 | 4.8% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 35.7% | 53.5% |
| 9 | Norway | I | +3000 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 26.7% |
| 10 | Belgium | G | +3500 | 2.8% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 40.0% | 69.7% |
| 11 | Colombia | K | +4000 | 2.4% | 5.3% | 12.5% | 26.3% | 29.4% |
| 12 | USA | D | +6000 | 1.6% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 26.7% | 44.4% |
| 13 | Morocco | C | +5000 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 22.2% | 19.0% |
| 14 | Japan | F | +6500 | 1.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 20.0% | 28.6% |
| 15 | Mexico | A | +8000 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 22.2% | 52.4% |
| 16 | Uruguay | H | +6500 | 1.5% | 4.8% | 13.3% | 25.0% | 21.3% |
| 17 | Switzerland | B | +6500 | 1.5% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 26.7% | 51.2% |
| 18 | Turkey | D | +10000 | 1.0% | 3.8% | 10.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| 19 | Ecuador | E | +8000 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 15.4% | 22.2% |
| 20 | Croatia | L | +8000 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| 21 | Senegal | I | +9000 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% |
| 22 | Sweden | F | +10000 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 22.2% |
| 23 | Austria | J | +15000 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 18.2% |
| 24 | Canada | B | +20000 | 0.5% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 18.2% | 34.5% |
| 25 | Paraguay | D | +30000 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 11.1% | 20.0% |
| 26 | Bosnia | B | +50000 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 10.5% | 21.3% |
| 27 | Scotland | C | +20000 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% |
| 28 | Czech Republic | A | +25000 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 3.8% | 11.8% | 26.3% |
| 29 | Ivory Coast | E | +25000 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 14.3% |
| 30 | Egypt | G | +30000 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 10.0% | 20.0% |
| 31 | Algeria | J | +35000 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% |
| 32 | Ghana | L | +30000 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% |
| 33 | South Korea | A | +40000 | 0.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 13.3% | 25.0% |
| 34 | Australia | D | +60000 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.9% | 12.5% |
| 35 | Tunisia | F | +70000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% |
| 36 | Iran | G | +70000 | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 9.1% | 18.2% |
| 37 | DR Congo | K | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% |
| 38 | South Africa | A | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% |
| 39 | Qatar | B | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% |
| 40 | Saudi Arabia | H | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% |
| 41 | Iraq | I | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% |
| 42 | Panama | L | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 43 | New Zealand | G | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% |
| 44 | Cape Verde | H | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% |
| 45 | Uzbekistan | K | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| 46 | Curacao | E | +250000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 47 | Jordan | J | +250000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% |
| 48 | Haiti | C | +250000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% |